Phylogenetic Comparative Analysis: A Modeling Approach for
Adaptive Evolution
Phylogenetic Comparative Analysis: A Modeling Approach for
Adaptive Evolution
Marguerite A. Butler and Aaron A. King
The American Naturalist, 164:683-695,
2004.
We have stressed throughout the important role that
models of evolutionary change play in our statistical
methods. Brownian motion models have been put to use for
characterizing change in continuously-varying characters, as
has a Markov model in the case of dichotomous characters. New
models, based on undoubtedly wicked mathematics, will
gradually emerge. -Harvey and Pagel
(1991)
Abstract
Biologists employ phylogenetic comparative methods to study
adaptive evolution. However, none of the popular methods model
selection directly. We explain and develop a method based on the
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, first proposed by Hansen. OU
models incorporate both selection and drift and are thus
qualitatively different from, and more general than, pure drift
models based on Brownian motion. Most importantly, OU models
possess selective optima which formalize the notion of adaptive
zone. In this paper, we develop the method for one quantitative
character, discuss interpretations of its parameters, and provide
code implementing the method. Our approach allows us to translate
hypotheses regarding adaptation in different selective regimes
into explicit models, test the models against data using
maximum-likelihood-based model-selection techniques, and infer
details of the evolutionary process. We illustrate the method
using two worked examples.
Relative to existing approaches, the direct modeling approach we
demonstrate allows one to explore more detailed hypotheses and to
utilize more of the information content of comparative datasets
than existing methods. Moreover, the use of a model selection
framework to simultaneously compare a variety of hypotheses
advances our ability to assess alternative evolutionary
explanations.